Rent or buy Germany

Would buying actually leave you better off than renting?

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Buying gets ahead in year 13

€125,184
Most comparisons treat the renter as somebody who only pays rent. They still have the deposit and the purchase costs, and for years they pay less every month. This runs both households side by side and says which year, if any, the buyer gets ahead.As of · Reader-selected contract and tax assumptions

The house, and the flat you would keep renting

Both households start with the same money. One spends it on a deposit and the purchase costs; the other invests it.
Financing beyond the fixed rate
Purchase costs and the state
How rent, upkeep and prices move
What the renter's money earns, and its tax

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Buying gets ahead in year 13

€125,184 better off after 30 years as an owner
Owning, each month€2,337mortgage plus maintenance, before anything the house asks for unexpectedly
Renting, each month€1,800today, rising every year
The gap invested€537a month at the start – this is what the renter puts away
Rent that makes it a tie€1,681you already pay more than this, so buying wins
Owner after 30 years€786,013the house less what is owed and what selling costs
Renter after 30 years€660,829the portfolio after tax on its gain
Investment tax paid€112,226after the fund exemption and shared allowance ledger
What each household is worth, year by year
BuyingRenting and investing
Years · the marker is where buying overtakes
Both households, year by year
YearHouse worthStill owedOwnerRenter
1€459,000€396,094€46,520€111,741
2€468,180€387,572€63,894€123,495
3€477,544€378,738€81,757€135,803
4€487,094€369,581€100,124€148,411
5€496,836€360,089€119,011€161,332
6€506,773€350,249€138,432€174,579
7€516,909€340,049€158,406€188,164
8€527,247€329,476€178,948€202,102
9€537,792€318,516€200,077€216,406
10€548,547€307,154€221,810€231,093
11€559,518€296,405€243,138€247,926
12€570,709€285,162€265,172€265,259
13€582,123€273,403€287,938€283,116
14€593,765€261,103€311,465€301,518
15€605,641€248,239€335,781€320,492
16€617,754€234,783€360,917€340,062
17€630,109€220,709€386,904€360,255
18€642,711€205,989€413,777€381,101
19€655,565€190,592€441,569€402,629
20€668,676€174,489€470,316€424,871
21€682,050€157,645€500,056€447,859
22€695,691€140,027€530,827€471,627
23€709,605€121,601€562,671€496,212
24€723,797€102,327€595,630€521,648
25€738,273€82,168€629,748€547,974
26€753,038€61,084€665,071€575,228
27€768,099€39,030€701,648€603,452
28€783,461€15,964€739,528€632,690
29€799,130€0€770,601€654,816
30€815,113€0€786,013€660,829

Over 30 years the owner pays €900,038 to the bank and to the roof, and the renter pays €876,271 in rent. Neither figure is the answer on its own – what matters is what each household owns at the end.

This prices money and nothing else. Ownership can reduce tenancy risk but creates concentration, repair and forced-sale risk. A tenant's notice period is normally three months in Germany, subject to the contract and law; neither choice is captured fully by arithmetic.

The investment is an accumulating equity fund in one German account: gains are taxed when sold, after the partial exemption and the yearly allowance, and the Vorabpauschale is paid each January. Nothing is sold and rebought in December to use the allowance.

Look at the mortgage on its own

What this answers

What the renter does with the deposit

Most comparisons quietly assume it disappears. It does not: the renter keeps it, invests it, and for years pays less every month as well. Whether buying wins depends almost entirely on what that money does, and on how long you stay.

The costs that never come back

Buying starts a long way behind

Transfer tax, the agent, the notary and the land registry are spent on day one and recovered by nobody. On an ordinary purchase they are more than a year of rent, which is why a short stay almost never favours buying.

What it does not answer

What houses and markets will actually do

Two growth rates decide this and neither is knowable. Change them by a point each and the crossing point moves by a decade – which is the honest finding, and the reason this gives a crossing year rather than a verdict.